Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Prediction
Why we picked this for Middlesbrough vs Birmingham
Our pick for Middlesbrough vs Birmingham in Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 99% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Middlesbrough's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.2 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Birmingham (2.8 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 99%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Middlesbrough vs Birmingham, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2020 | Birmingham | Middlesbrough | 1-4 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Jan 21, 2020 | Middlesbrough | Birmingham | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Oct 04, 2019 | Birmingham | Middlesbrough | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Birmingham | Middlesbrough | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Middlesbrough | Birmingham | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |


