Home/England Tips/Middlesbrough vs Birmingham
ChampionshipSaturday, 16 January 2021 · Full-time0-1✓
MID

Middlesbrough

VS
BIR

Birmingham

Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Prediction

Under2.5 goals
99% confidence

Why we picked this for Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

Our pick for Middlesbrough vs Birmingham in Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 99% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Middlesbrough's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.2 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Birmingham (2.8 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 99%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Middlesbrough last 5
2.8
avg goals, Birmingham last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Middlesbrough
Brentford 2-1 Middlesbrough
Jan 09, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Wycombe Wanderers 1-3 Middlesbrough
Jan 02, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Middlesbrough
Dec 29, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Birmingham 1-4 Middlesbrough
Dec 19, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Middlesbrough 1-0 Luton Town
Dec 16, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Birmingham
Manchester City 3-0 Birmingham
Jan 10, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Birmingham 0-2 Blackburn Rovers
Jan 02, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Birmingham 0-4 Derby County
Dec 29, 2020
Over 2.5✕
Nottm Forest 0-0 Birmingham
Dec 26, 2020
Under 2.5✓
Birmingham 1-4 Middlesbrough
Dec 19, 2020
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Middlesbrough vs Birmingham, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 19, 2020BirminghamMiddlesbrough1-4
Over 2.5✕
Jan 21, 2020MiddlesbroughBirmingham1-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 04, 2019BirminghamMiddlesbrough2-1
Over 2.5✕
Jan 12, 2019BirminghamMiddlesbrough1-2
Over 2.5✕
Aug 11, 2018MiddlesbroughBirmingham1-0
Under 2.5✓