AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction
Why we picked this for AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax
Our pick for AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax in KNVB Beker is Over 2.5 goals, with 91% confidence. Recent form: 4 of AZ Alkmaar's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Ajax (3.4 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 91%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 01, 2020 | Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | 0-2 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 15, 2019 | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Mar 17, 2019 | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Oct 07, 2018 | Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | 5-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | 3-0 | Over 2.5✓ |