Aston Villa
Newcastle
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction
Why we picked this for Aston Villa vs Newcastle
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Aston Villa against Newcastle (Premier League), rated at 91% confidence. Matches involving Aston Villa produced 3.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Newcastle it is 1.4 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 2 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 91%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 2 meetings
Aston Villa vs Newcastle, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2020 | Newcastle | Aston Villa | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Nov 25, 2019 | Aston Villa | Newcastle | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |