Burnley
Bournemouth
Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction
Why we picked this for Burnley vs Bournemouth
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Burnley against Bournemouth (FA Cup), rated at 93% confidence. Matches involving Burnley produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Bournemouth it is 3.2 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 93%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-2. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Burnley vs Bournemouth, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | Burnley | Bournemouth | 3-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Bournemouth | Burnley | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 06, 2019 | Bournemouth | Burnley | 1-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Burnley | Bournemouth | 4-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| May 13, 2018 | Burnley | Bournemouth | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |


