Home/England Tips/Burnley vs Bournemouth
FA CupTuesday, 09 February 2021 · Full-time0-2✓
BUR

Burnley

VS
BOU

Bournemouth

Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction

Under2.5 goals
93% confidence

Why we picked this for Burnley vs Bournemouth

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Burnley against Bournemouth (FA Cup), rated at 93% confidence. Matches involving Burnley produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Bournemouth it is 3.2 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 93%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Burnley last 5
3.2
avg goals, Bournemouth last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Burnley
Burnley 1-1 Brighton
Feb 06, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Burnley 0-2 Manchester City
Feb 03, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea 2-0 Burnley
Jan 31, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Burnley 3-2 Aston Villa
Jan 27, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Fulham 0-3 Burnley
Jan 24, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Bournemouth
Bournemouth 3-2 Birmingham
Feb 06, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Bournemouth 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday
Feb 02, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Reading 3-1 Bournemouth
Jan 29, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Bournemouth 2-1 Crawley Town
Jan 26, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 1-0 Bournemouth
Jan 19, 2021
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Burnley vs Bournemouth, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 22, 2020BurnleyBournemouth3-0
Over 2.5✕
Dec 21, 2019BournemouthBurnley0-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 06, 2019BournemouthBurnley1-3
Over 2.5✕
Sep 22, 2018BurnleyBournemouth4-0
Over 2.5✕
May 13, 2018BurnleyBournemouth1-2
Over 2.5✕