Home/UEFA Tips/Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea
Champions LeagueTuesday, 23 February 2021 · Full-time0-1✓
ATL

Atletico Madrid

VS
CHE

Chelsea

Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea Prediction

Under2.5 goals
76% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea

Our pick for Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea in Champions League is Under 2.5 goals, with 76% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Atletico Madrid's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Chelsea (1.8 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 1 of the last 2 ending under 2.5. At 76%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
1.8
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
50%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid 0-2 Levante UD
Feb 20, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Levante UD 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Feb 17, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Granada 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Feb 13, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 2-2 Celta Vigo
Feb 08, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Cadiz 2-4 Atletico Madrid
Jan 31, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea
Southampton 1-1 Chelsea
Feb 20, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea 2-0 Newcastle
Feb 15, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Barnsley 0-1 Chelsea
Feb 11, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Sheffield United 1-2 Chelsea
Feb 07, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Tottenham Hotspur 0-1 Chelsea
Feb 04, 2021
Under 2.5✓

Last 2 meetings

Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 05, 2017ChelseaAtletico Madrid1-1
Under 2.5✓
Sep 27, 2017Atletico MadridChelsea1-2
Over 2.5✕