Home/Portugal Tips/Portimonense vs Tondela
Primeira LigaSaturday, 06 March 2021 · Full-time3-0✕
POR

Portimonense

VS
TON

Tondela

Portimonense vs Tondela Prediction

Under2.5 goals
81% confidence

Why we picked this for Portimonense vs Tondela

Our pick for Portimonense vs Tondela in Primeira Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 81% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Portimonense's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.0 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Tondela (3.2 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 81%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-0. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Portimonense last 5
3.2
avg goals, Tondela last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Portimonense
Portimonense 0-0 Maritimo
Feb 28, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Portimonense
Feb 20, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Portimonense 4-1 Gil Vicente
Feb 14, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Pacos Ferreira 0-0 Portimonense
Feb 09, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Sporting de Braga 2-1 Portimonense
Feb 04, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Tondela
Tondela 1-0 Gil Vicente
Feb 28, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Sporting de Braga 4-2 Tondela
Feb 21, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Tondela 2-1 Maritimo
Feb 16, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Rio Ave 2-1 Tondela
Feb 09, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Pacos Ferreira 2-1 Tondela
Feb 05, 2021
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Portimonense vs Tondela, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 23, 2020TondelaPortimonense1-0
Under 2.5✓
Feb 01, 2020PortimonenseTondela0-1
Under 2.5✓
Aug 19, 2019TondelaPortimonense1-2
Over 2.5✕
Apr 08, 2019TondelaPortimonense3-2
Over 2.5✕
Dec 02, 2018PortimonenseTondela3-2
Over 2.5✕