Bournemouth
Southampton
Bournemouth vs Southampton Prediction
Why we picked this for Bournemouth vs Southampton
Our pick for Bournemouth vs Southampton in FA Cup is Under 2.5 goals, with 54% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Bournemouth's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.8 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Southampton (3.2 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 54% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 0-3. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Bournemouth vs Southampton, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2020 | Bournemouth | Southampton | 0-2 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Sep 20, 2019 | Southampton | Bournemouth | 1-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 27, 2019 | Southampton | Bournemouth | 3-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Bournemouth | Southampton | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Southampton | Bournemouth | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |