TSG Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
TSG Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 Prediction
Why we picked this for TSG Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05
Our pick for TSG Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 in Bundesliga is Over 2.5 goals, with 87% confidence. Recent form: 2 of TSG Hoffenheim's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Mainz 05 (1.8 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 87%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-2. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
TSG Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2020 | Mainz 05 | TSG Hoffenheim | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| May 30, 2020 | Mainz 05 | TSG Hoffenheim | 0-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Nov 24, 2019 | TSG Hoffenheim | Mainz 05 | 1-5 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 18, 2019 | Mainz 05 | TSG Hoffenheim | 4-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Dec 23, 2018 | TSG Hoffenheim | Mainz 05 | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |