Derby County
Luton Town
Derby County vs Luton Town Prediction
Why we picked this for Derby County vs Luton Town
For this Championship fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Derby County vs Luton Town, at 62% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Derby County's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. For Luton Town it is 3.0 goals per game and 2 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. The 62% confidence reflects a real but modest gap between our projection and the line. The match ended 2-0, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Derby County vs Luton Town, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Derby County | Luton Town | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Luton Town | Derby County | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Luton Town | Derby County | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Derby County | Luton Town | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 02, 2021 | Derby County | Luton Town | 2-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
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