Derby County
Birmingham
Derby County vs Birmingham Prediction
Why we picked this for Derby County vs Birmingham
For this Championship fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Derby County vs Birmingham, at 88% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Derby County's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Birmingham's games averaged 1.2, with 0 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 88%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-2. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Derby County vs Birmingham, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2020 | Birmingham | Derby County | 0-4 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Jul 22, 2020 | Birmingham | Derby County | 1-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Derby County | Birmingham | 3-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Birmingham | Derby County | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 03, 2018 | Derby County | Birmingham | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |