Home/Scotland Tips/Motherwell vs Kilmarnock
Premier LeagueSaturday, 01 May 2021 · Full-time2-0✓
MOT

Motherwell

VS
KIL

Kilmarnock

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Under2.5 goals
77% confidence

Why we picked this for Motherwell vs Kilmarnock

Our pick for Motherwell vs Kilmarnock in Premier League is Under 2.5 goals, with 77% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Motherwell's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Kilmarnock (3.8 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 77%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Motherwell last 5
3.8
avg goals, Kilmarnock last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Motherwell
Hamilton 0-1 Motherwell
Apr 21, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Motherwell 1-0 St. Mirren
Apr 10, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Kilmarnock 4-1 Motherwell
Mar 20, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Motherwell 3-1 Livingston
Mar 06, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Hibernian 0-2 Motherwell
Feb 27, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 3-0 Dundee United
Apr 21, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Kilmarnock 2-2 Ross County
Apr 10, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Kilmarnock 4-1 Motherwell
Mar 20, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Ross County 3-2 Kilmarnock
Mar 06, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee United
Feb 27, 2021
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 20, 2021KilmarnockMotherwell4-1
Over 2.5✕
Dec 30, 2020MotherwellKilmarnock0-2
Under 2.5✓
Oct 02, 2020KilmarnockMotherwell0-3
Over 2.5✕
Dec 21, 2019KilmarnockMotherwell0-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 30, 2019MotherwellKilmarnock2-1
Over 2.5✕