Home/Italy Tips/Fiorentina vs Napoli
Serie ASunday, 16 May 2021 · Full-time0-2✕
FIO

Fiorentina

VS
NAP

Napoli

Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction

Over2.5 goals
69% confidence

Why we picked this for Fiorentina vs Napoli

For this Serie A fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Fiorentina vs Napoli, at 69% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Fiorentina's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Napoli's games averaged 4.4, with 3 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 69% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-2, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Fiorentina last 5
4.4
avg goals, Napoli last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Fiorentina
Cagliari Calcio 0-0 Fiorentina
May 12, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Fiorentina 2-0 Lazio
May 08, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Bologna 3-3 Fiorentina
May 02, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Fiorentina 1-1 Juventus
Apr 25, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Hellas Verona 1-2 Fiorentina
Apr 20, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Napoli
Napoli 5-1 Udinese Calcio
May 11, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Spezia Calcio 1-4 Napoli
May 08, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Napoli 1-1 Cagliari Calcio
May 02, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Torino 0-2 Napoli
Apr 26, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Napoli 5-2 Lazio
Apr 22, 2021
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Fiorentina vs Napoli, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 17, 2021NapoliFiorentina6-0
Over 2.5✓
Jan 18, 2020NapoliFiorentina0-2
Under 2.5✕
Aug 24, 2019FiorentinaNapoli3-4
Over 2.5✓
Feb 09, 2019FiorentinaNapoli0-0
Under 2.5✕
Sep 15, 2018NapoliFiorentina1-0
Under 2.5✕