Home/Brazil Tips/Atletico MG vs Chapecoense
Serie AMonday, 21 June 2021 · Full-time1-1✕
ATL

Atletico MG

VS
CHA

Chapecoense

Atletico MG vs Chapecoense Prediction

Over2.5 goals
97% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico MG vs Chapecoense

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Atletico MG against Chapecoense (Serie A), rated at 97% confidence. Matches involving Atletico MG produced 1.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Chapecoense it is 2.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 97%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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1.6
avg goals, Atletico MG last 5
2.6
avg goals, Chapecoense last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico MG
Internacional RS 0-1 Atletico MG
Jun 17, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 1-0 Sao Paulo SP
Jun 13, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 2-1 Remo PA
Jun 11, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Sport Recife 0-1 Atletico MG
Jun 07, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Remo PA 0-2 Atletico MG
Jun 03, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Chapecoense
Sao Paulo SP 1-1 Chapecoense
Jun 17, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Chapecoense 0-0 Ceará
Jun 14, 2021
Under 2.5✕
ABC 3-0 Chapecoense
Jun 09, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Palmeiras 3-1 Chapecoense
Jun 06, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Chapecoense 3-1 ABC
Jun 02, 2021
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Atletico MG vs Chapecoense, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 30, 2019Atletico MGChapecoense0-2
Under 2.5✕
Jul 15, 2019ChapecoenseAtletico MG1-2
Over 2.5✓
Oct 06, 2018ChapecoenseAtletico MG1-0
Under 2.5✕
Jun 02, 2018Atletico MGChapecoense3-3
Over 2.5✓
May 17, 2018ChapecoenseAtletico MG0-0
Under 2.5✕