Home/International Tips/Croatia vs Spain
European ChampionshipMonday, 28 June 2021 · Full-time3-3✕
CRO

Croatia

VS
SPA

Spain

Croatia vs Spain Prediction

Under2.5 goals
70% confidence

Why we picked this for Croatia vs Spain

For this European Championship fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Croatia vs Spain, at 70% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Croatia's games produced 2.2 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Spain's games averaged 2.8, with 3 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 4 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 70% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 3-3, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Croatia last 5
2.8
avg goals, Spain last 5
75%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Croatia
Croatia 3-1 Scotland
Jun 22, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Croatia 1-1 Czech Republic
Jun 18, 2021
Under 2.5✓
England 1-0 Croatia
Jun 13, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Croatia 3-0 Malta
Mar 30, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Croatia 1-0 Cyprus
Mar 27, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Spain
Slovakia 0-5 Spain
Jun 23, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Spain 1-1 Poland
Jun 19, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Spain 0-0 Sweden
Jun 14, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Spain 3-1 Kosovo
Mar 31, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Georgia 1-2 Spain
Mar 28, 2021
Over 2.5✕

Last 4 meetings

Croatia vs Spain, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 15, 2018CroatiaSpain3-2
Over 2.5✕
Sep 11, 2018SpainCroatia6-0
Over 2.5✕
Jun 21, 2016CroatiaSpain2-1
Over 2.5✕
Jun 18, 2012CroatiaSpain0-1
Under 2.5✓