Arsenal
Chelsea
Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction
Why we picked this for Arsenal vs Chelsea
Our pick for Arsenal vs Chelsea in Friendlies is Under 2.5 goals, with 77% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Arsenal's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Chelsea (2.2 per game). Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 77% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Arsenal vs Chelsea, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2021 | Chelsea | Arsenal | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 26, 2020 | Arsenal | Chelsea | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Jan 21, 2020 | Chelsea | Arsenal | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Arsenal | Chelsea | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| May 29, 2019 | Chelsea | Arsenal | 4-1 | Over 2.5✕ |