Super CupSaturday, 07 August 2021 · Full-time0-3✓
AJA

Ajax

VS
PSV

PSV

Ajax vs PSV Prediction

Over2.5 goals
95% confidence

Why we picked this for Ajax vs PSV

Our pick for Ajax vs PSV in Super Cup is Over 2.5 goals, with 95% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Ajax's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for PSV (4.0 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 95%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-3. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Ajax last 5
4.0
avg goals, PSV last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Ajax
Vitesse 1-3 Ajax
May 16, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Ajax 3-1 VVV-Venlo
May 13, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Feyenoord 0-3 Ajax
May 09, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Ajax 4-0 Emmen
May 02, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Ajax 2-0 AZ Alkmaar
Apr 25, 2021
Under 2.5✕
PSV
PSV 3-0 Midtjylland
Aug 03, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Galatasaray 1-2 PSV
Jul 28, 2021
Over 2.5✓
PSV 5-1 Galatasaray
Jul 21, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Utrecht 1-1 PSV
May 16, 2021
Under 2.5✕
PSV 4-2 PEC Zwolle
May 13, 2021
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Ajax vs PSV, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 28, 2021PSVAjax1-1
Under 2.5✕
Feb 10, 2021AjaxPSV2-1
Over 2.5✓
Jan 10, 2021AjaxPSV2-2
Over 2.5✓
Feb 02, 2020AjaxPSV1-0
Under 2.5✕
Sep 22, 2019PSVAjax1-1
Under 2.5✕