Home/England Tips/Arsenal vs Chelsea
Premier LeagueSunday, 22 August 2021 · Full-time0-2✓
ARS

Arsenal

VS
CHE

Chelsea

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction

Under2.5 goals
91% confidence

Why we picked this for Arsenal vs Chelsea

For this Premier League fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Arsenal vs Chelsea, at 91% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Arsenal's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Chelsea's games averaged 2.2, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 91%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Arsenal last 5
2.2
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Arsenal
Brentford 2-0 Arsenal
Aug 13, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Arsenal 2-0 Brighton
May 23, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Crystal Palace 1-3 Arsenal
May 19, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 0-1 Arsenal
May 12, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Arsenal 3-1 West Bromwich Albion
May 09, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea
Chelsea 3-0 Crystal Palace
Aug 14, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Aston Villa 2-1 Chelsea
May 23, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 2-1 Leicester City
May 18, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 0-1 Leicester City
May 15, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea 0-1 Arsenal
May 12, 2021
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Arsenal vs Chelsea, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 12, 2021ChelseaArsenal0-1
Under 2.5✓
Dec 26, 2020ArsenalChelsea3-1
Over 2.5✕
Jan 21, 2020ChelseaArsenal2-2
Over 2.5✕
Dec 29, 2019ArsenalChelsea1-2
Over 2.5✕
May 29, 2019ChelseaArsenal4-1
Over 2.5✕