Birmingham
Derby County
Birmingham vs Derby County Prediction
Why we picked this for Birmingham vs Derby County
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Birmingham against Derby County (Championship), rated at 89% confidence. Matches involving Birmingham produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Derby County it is 1.6 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 89%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Birmingham vs Derby County, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | Derby County | Birmingham | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Dec 29, 2020 | Birmingham | Derby County | 0-4 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Jul 22, 2020 | Birmingham | Derby County | 1-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Derby County | Birmingham | 3-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Birmingham | Derby County | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |