Home/England Tips/Burnley vs Arsenal
Premier LeagueSaturday, 18 September 2021 · Full-time0-1✕
BUR

Burnley

VS
ARS

Arsenal

Burnley vs Arsenal Prediction

Over2.5 goals
92% confidence

Why we picked this for Burnley vs Arsenal

For this Premier League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Burnley vs Arsenal, at 92% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Burnley's games produced 2.4 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Arsenal's games averaged 2.4, with 1 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 92% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 0-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Burnley last 5
2.4
avg goals, Arsenal last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Burnley
Everton 3-1 Burnley
Sep 13, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Burnley 1-1 Leeds United
Aug 29, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Liverpool 2-0 Burnley
Aug 21, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Burnley 1-2 Brighton
Aug 14, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Sheffield United 1-0 Burnley
May 23, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Arsenal
Arsenal 1-0 Norwich
Sep 11, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Manchester City 5-0 Arsenal
Aug 28, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Arsenal 0-2 Chelsea
Aug 22, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Brentford 2-0 Arsenal
Aug 13, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Arsenal 2-0 Brighton
May 23, 2021
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Burnley vs Arsenal, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 06, 2021BurnleyArsenal1-1
Under 2.5✕
Dec 13, 2020ArsenalBurnley0-1
Under 2.5✕
Feb 02, 2020BurnleyArsenal0-0
Under 2.5✕
Aug 17, 2019ArsenalBurnley2-1
Over 2.5✓
May 12, 2019BurnleyArsenal1-3
Over 2.5✓