Erzgebirge Aue
Paderborn
Erzgebirge Aue vs Paderborn Prediction
Why we picked this for Erzgebirge Aue vs Paderborn
Our pick for Erzgebirge Aue vs Paderborn in 2nd Bundesliga is Under 2.5 goals, with 85% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Erzgebirge Aue's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Paderborn (3.2 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 2 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 85%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-4. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 2 meetings
Erzgebirge Aue vs Paderborn, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 09, 2021 | Erzgebirge Aue | Paderborn | 3-8 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Paderborn | Erzgebirge Aue | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |