Home/Germany Tips/Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Mainz 05
BundesligaSaturday, 25 September 2021 · Full-time1-0✕
BAY

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

VS
MAI

Mainz 05

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Mainz 05 Prediction

Over2.5 goals
64% confidence

Why we picked this for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Mainz 05

Our pick for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Mainz 05 in Bundesliga is Over 2.5 goals, with 64% confidence. Recent form: 5 of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (4.6 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Mainz 05 (1.6 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 64% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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4.6
avg goals, Bayer 04 Leverkusen last 5
1.6
avg goals, Mainz 05 last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Stuttgart 1-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Sep 19, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-1 Ferencvaros
Sep 16, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3-4 Borussia Dortmund
Sep 11, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Augsburg 1-4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Aug 28, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4-0 Monchengladbach
Aug 21, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Mainz 05
Mainz 05 0-0 Freiburg
Sep 18, 2021
Under 2.5✕
TSG Hoffenheim 0-2 Mainz 05
Sep 11, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Mainz 05 3-0 Greuther Furth
Aug 28, 2021
Over 2.5✓
VfL Bochum 2-0 Mainz 05
Aug 21, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Mainz 05 1-0 RB Leipzig
Aug 15, 2021
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Mainz 05, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 13, 2021Bayer 04 LeverkusenMainz 052-2
Over 2.5✓
Oct 17, 2020Mainz 05Bayer 04 Leverkusen0-1
Under 2.5✕
Jun 27, 2020Bayer 04 LeverkusenMainz 051-0
Under 2.5✕
Dec 21, 2019Mainz 05Bayer 04 Leverkusen0-1
Under 2.5✕
Feb 08, 2019Mainz 05Bayer 04 Leverkusen1-5
Over 2.5✓