Home/Italy Tips/Fiorentina vs Napoli
Serie ASunday, 03 October 2021 · Full-time1-2✓
FIO

Fiorentina

VS
NAP

Napoli

Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction

Over2.5 goals
97% confidence

Why we picked this for Fiorentina vs Napoli

Our pick for Fiorentina vs Napoli in Serie A is Over 2.5 goals, with 97% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Fiorentina's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.8 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Napoli (3.8 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 97%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Fiorentina last 5
3.8
avg goals, Napoli last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Fiorentina
Udinese Calcio 0-1 Fiorentina
Sep 26, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Fiorentina 1-3 Inter Milan
Sep 21, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Genoa 1-2 Fiorentina
Sep 18, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Atalanta 1-2 Fiorentina
Sep 11, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Fiorentina 2-1 Torino
Aug 28, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Napoli
Napoli 2-3 Spartak Moscow
Sep 30, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Napoli 2-0 Cagliari Calcio
Sep 26, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Sampdoria 0-4 Napoli
Sep 23, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Udinese Calcio 0-4 Napoli
Sep 20, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Leicester City 2-2 Napoli
Sep 16, 2021
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Fiorentina vs Napoli, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 16, 2021FiorentinaNapoli0-2
Under 2.5✕
Jan 17, 2021NapoliFiorentina6-0
Over 2.5✓
Jan 18, 2020NapoliFiorentina0-2
Under 2.5✕
Aug 24, 2019FiorentinaNapoli3-4
Over 2.5✓
Feb 09, 2019FiorentinaNapoli0-0
Under 2.5✕