Chelsea
Southampton
Chelsea vs Southampton Prediction
Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Southampton
Our pick for Chelsea vs Southampton in EFL Trophy is Under 2.5 goals, with 74% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Chelsea's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Southampton (2.0 per game). Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 74% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-1, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea vs Southampton, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 02, 2021 | Chelsea | Southampton | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Southampton | Chelsea | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Chelsea | Southampton | 3-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Chelsea | Southampton | 0-2 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Oct 06, 2019 | Southampton | Chelsea | 1-4 | Over 2.5✕ |