Liverpool
Atletico Madrid
Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Why we picked this for Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid
Our pick for Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid in Champions League is Under 2.5 goals, with 65% confidence. Recent form: 5 of Liverpool's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (4.6 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Atletico Madrid (3.6 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 1 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 65% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-0, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 3 meetings
Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | Atletico Madrid | Liverpool | 2-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Mar 11, 2020 | Liverpool | Atletico Madrid | 2-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Feb 18, 2020 | Atletico Madrid | Liverpool | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |