Atletico MG
Gremio
Atletico MG vs Gremio Prediction
Why we picked this for Atletico MG vs Gremio
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Atletico MG against Gremio (Serie A), rated at 78% confidence. Matches involving Atletico MG produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Gremio it is 2.6 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 78%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Atletico MG vs Gremio, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2021 | Gremio | Atletico MG | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Atletico MG | Gremio | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Atletico MG | Gremio | 1-4 | Over 2.5✕ |
| May 26, 2019 | Gremio | Atletico MG | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Nov 03, 2018 | Atletico MG | Gremio | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |