Tondela vs Maritimo Prediction

For this Primeira Liga fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Tondela vs Maritimo, at 76% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Tondela's games produced 3.4 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Maritimo's games averaged 1.4, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 76%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 4-2. The pick lost.

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