Home/Italy Tips/Fiorentina vs AC Milan
Serie ASaturday, 20 November 2021 · Full-time4-3✓
FIO

Fiorentina

VS
AC

AC Milan

Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction

Over2.5 goals
75% confidence

Why we picked this for Fiorentina vs AC Milan

For this Serie A fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Fiorentina vs AC Milan, at 75% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Fiorentina's games produced 1.8 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. AC Milan's games averaged 2.8, with 2 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 75% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 4-3, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, Fiorentina last 5
2.8
avg goals, AC Milan last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Fiorentina
Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina
Nov 06, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Fiorentina 3-0 Spezia Calcio
Oct 31, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Lazio 1-0 Fiorentina
Oct 27, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Fiorentina 3-0 Cagliari Calcio
Oct 24, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Venezia 1-0 Fiorentina
Oct 18, 2021
Under 2.5✕
AC Milan
AC Milan 1-1 Inter Milan
Nov 07, 2021
Under 2.5✕
AC Milan 1-1 Porto
Nov 03, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Roma 1-2 AC Milan
Oct 31, 2021
Over 2.5✓
AC Milan 1-0 Torino
Oct 26, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Bologna 2-4 AC Milan
Oct 23, 2021
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Fiorentina vs AC Milan, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 21, 2021FiorentinaAC Milan2-3
Over 2.5✓
Nov 29, 2020AC MilanFiorentina2-0
Under 2.5✕
Feb 22, 2020FiorentinaAC Milan1-1
Under 2.5✕
Sep 29, 2019AC MilanFiorentina1-3
Over 2.5✓
May 11, 2019FiorentinaAC Milan0-1
Under 2.5✕