Arsenal Tula
Lokomotiv Moscow
Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction
Why we picked this for Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv Moscow
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Arsenal Tula against Lokomotiv Moscow (Premier League), rated at 66% confidence. Matches involving Arsenal Tula produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Lokomotiv Moscow it is 2.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 66% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 3-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv Moscow, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2021 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Arsenal Tula | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Mar 08, 2021 | Arsenal Tula | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Arsenal Tula | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Dec 06, 2019 | Arsenal Tula | Lokomotiv Moscow | 4-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Oct 06, 2019 | Lokomotiv Moscow | Arsenal Tula | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |