Home/Brazil Tips/Bahia vs Atletico MG
Serie AThursday, 02 December 2021 · Full-time2-3✕
BAH

Bahia

VS
ATL

Atletico MG

Bahia vs Atletico MG Prediction

Under2.5 goals
91% confidence

Why we picked this for Bahia vs Atletico MG

For this Serie A fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Bahia vs Atletico MG, at 91% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Bahia's games produced 2.2 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Atletico MG's games averaged 2.6, with 3 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 91% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 2-3, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Bahia last 5
2.6
avg goals, Atletico MG last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Bahia
Atletico GO 2-1 Bahia
Nov 29, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Bahia 3-1 Gremio
Nov 26, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Bahia 0-0 Cuiabá
Nov 21, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Sport Recife 1-0 Bahia
Nov 19, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Flamengo 3-0 Bahia
Nov 11, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Atletico MG
Atletico MG 2-1 Fluminense RJ
Nov 28, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Palmeiras 2-2 Atletico MG
Nov 24, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Atletico MG 2-0 Juventude RS
Nov 20, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Atletico PR 0-1 Atletico MG
Nov 16, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Atletico MG 3-0 Corinthians
Nov 10, 2021
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Bahia vs Atletico MG, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 05, 2021BahiaAtletico MG2-1
Over 2.5✕
Jul 29, 2021Atletico MGBahia2-0
Under 2.5✓
Jul 25, 2021Atletico MGBahia3-0
Over 2.5✕
Feb 13, 2021Atletico MGBahia1-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 20, 2020BahiaAtletico MG3-1
Over 2.5✕