Home/Portugal Tips/Tondela vs Moreirense
Primeira LigaSaturday, 04 December 2021 · Full-timep-p−
TON

Tondela

VS
MOR

Moreirense

Tondela vs Moreirense Prediction

Over2.5 goals
81% confidence

Why we picked this for Tondela vs Moreirense

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Tondela against Moreirense (Primeira Liga), rated at 81% confidence. Matches involving Tondela produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Moreirense it is 2.0 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 81% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. Final score: p-p. The pick was void.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Tondela last 5
2.0
avg goals, Moreirense last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Tondela
Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Tondela
Nov 28, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Tondela 4-2 Maritimo
Nov 07, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Arouca 2-0 Tondela
Oct 29, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Tondela 1-3 Porto
Oct 23, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Belenenses 0-2 Tondela
Oct 03, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Moreirense
Moreirense 2-2 Gil Vicente
Nov 26, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 Moreirense
Nov 06, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Moreirense 1-1 Pacos Ferreira
Nov 01, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Moreirense
Oct 23, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Maritimo 0-0 Moreirense
Oct 01, 2021
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Tondela vs Moreirense, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 17, 2021MoreirenseTondela2-3
Over 2.5✓
Dec 19, 2020TondelaMoreirense0-0
Under 2.5✕
Jul 26, 2020MoreirenseTondela1-2
Over 2.5✓
Jan 18, 2020TondelaMoreirense1-1
Under 2.5✕
Feb 17, 2019MoreirenseTondela2-0
Under 2.5✕