Home/Wales Tips/Caernarfon vs Pen-y-Bont
Premier LeagueSaturday, 04 December 2021 · Full-time1-2✓
CAE

Caernarfon

VS
PEN

Pen-y-Bont

Caernarfon vs Pen-y-Bont Prediction

Over2.5 goals
81% confidence

Why we picked this for Caernarfon vs Pen-y-Bont

For this Premier League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Caernarfon vs Pen-y-Bont, at 81% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Caernarfon's games produced 1.8 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Pen-y-Bont's games averaged 2.2, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 81%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, Caernarfon last 5
2.2
avg goals, Pen-y-Bont last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Caernarfon
Haverfordwest County 1-2 Caernarfon
Nov 20, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Caernarfon 0-1 Gap Connah's Quay
Nov 09, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Cardiff Metropolitan 0-1 Caernarfon
Nov 06, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Caernarfon 1-2 Barry Town
Oct 30, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Newtown 1-0 Caernarfon
Oct 23, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Pen-y-Bont
Gap Connah's Quay 0-0 Pen-y-Bont
Nov 20, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Pen-y-Bont 2-1 Cardiff Metropolitan
Nov 09, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Flint Town Utd 3-1 Pen-y-Bont
Nov 06, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Bala Town
Oct 30, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Aberystwyth Town 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Oct 22, 2021
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Caernarfon vs Pen-y-Bont, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 02, 2021Pen-y-BontCaernarfon1-1
Under 2.5✕
Dec 05, 2020Pen-y-BontCaernarfon6-0
Over 2.5✓
Sep 12, 2020CaernarfonPen-y-Bont1-1
Under 2.5✕
Jan 04, 2020Pen-y-BontCaernarfon0-0
Under 2.5✕
Sep 14, 2019CaernarfonPen-y-Bont3-2
Over 2.5✓