Lugo
Almeria
Lugo vs Almeria Prediction
Why we picked this for Lugo vs Almeria
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Lugo against Almeria (Segunda Division), rated at 70% confidence. Matches involving Lugo produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Almeria it is 2.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 70% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 2-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Lugo vs Almeria, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | Almeria | Lugo | 4-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Lugo | Almeria | 0-2 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jan 04, 2020 | Lugo | Almeria | 0-4 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Almeria | Lugo | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| May 05, 2019 | Lugo | Almeria | 4-2 | Over 2.5✕ |