Home/England Tips/Burnley vs Watford
Premier LeagueSaturday, 05 February 2022 · Full-time0-0✓
BUR

Burnley

VS
WAT

Watford

Burnley vs Watford Prediction

Under2.5 goals
67% confidence

Why we picked this for Burnley vs Watford

Our pick for Burnley vs Watford in Premier League is Under 2.5 goals, with 67% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Burnley's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Watford (3.2 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 67% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-0, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Burnley last 5
3.2
avg goals, Watford last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Burnley
Arsenal 0-0 Burnley
Jan 23, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Burnley 1-2 Huddersfield
Jan 08, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Leeds United 3-1 Burnley
Jan 02, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Manchester United 3-1 Burnley
Dec 30, 2021
Over 2.5✕
Burnley 0-0 West Ham United
Dec 12, 2021
Under 2.5✓
Watford
Watford 0-3 Norwich
Jan 21, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle 1-1 Watford
Jan 15, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Leicester City 4-1 Watford
Jan 08, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Watford 0-1 Tottenham Hotspur
Jan 01, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Watford 1-4 West Ham United
Dec 28, 2021
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Burnley vs Watford, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jun 25, 2020BurnleyWatford1-0
Under 2.5✓
Nov 23, 2019WatfordBurnley0-3
Over 2.5✕
Jan 19, 2019WatfordBurnley0-0
Under 2.5✓
Aug 19, 2018BurnleyWatford1-3
Over 2.5✕
Apr 07, 2018WatfordBurnley1-2
Over 2.5✕