Burnley
Watford
Burnley vs Watford Prediction
Why we picked this for Burnley vs Watford
Our pick for Burnley vs Watford in Premier League is Under 2.5 goals, with 67% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Burnley's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Watford (3.2 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 67% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-0, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Burnley vs Watford, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2020 | Burnley | Watford | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Watford | Burnley | 0-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Jan 19, 2019 | Watford | Burnley | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Burnley | Watford | 1-3 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 07, 2018 | Watford | Burnley | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |


