Aston Villa
Leeds United
Aston Villa vs Leeds United Prediction
Why we picked this for Aston Villa vs Leeds United
For this Premier League fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Aston Villa vs Leeds United, at 83% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Aston Villa's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Leeds United's games averaged 3.4, with 3 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 83%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-3. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Aston Villa vs Leeds United, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | Leeds United | Aston Villa | 0-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Oct 23, 2020 | Aston Villa | Leeds United | 0-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Leeds United | Aston Villa | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 23, 2018 | Aston Villa | Leeds United | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 13, 2018 | Aston Villa | Leeds United | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |