Chaves vs Rio Ave Prediction

For this Primeira Liga fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Chaves vs Rio Ave, at 80% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Chaves's games produced 1.8 goals on average, 1 of them over 2.5. Rio Ave's games averaged 3.0, with 4 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 80%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick won.

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