Home/UEFA Tips/Portugal vs Spain
Nations LeagueTuesday, 27 September 2022 · Full-time0-1✕
POR

Portugal

VS
SPA

Spain

Portugal vs Spain Prediction

Over2.5 goals
58% confidence

Why we picked this for Portugal vs Spain

Our pick for Portugal vs Spain in Nations League is Over 2.5 goals, with 58% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Portugal's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Spain (2.4 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 2 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 58% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Portugal last 5
2.4
avg goals, Spain last 5
0%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Portugal
Czech Republic 0-4 Portugal
Sep 24, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Switzerland 1-0 Portugal
Jun 12, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Portugal 2-0 Czech Republic
Jun 09, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Portugal 4-0 Switzerland
Jun 05, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Spain 1-1 Portugal
Jun 02, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Spain
Spain 1-2 Switzerland
Sep 24, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Spain 2-0 Czech Republic
Jun 12, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Switzerland 0-1 Spain
Jun 09, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Czech Republic 2-2 Spain
Jun 05, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Spain 1-1 Portugal
Jun 02, 2022
Under 2.5✕

Last 2 meetings

Portugal vs Spain, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jun 02, 2022SpainPortugal1-1
Under 2.5✕
Jun 27, 2012PortugalSpain0-0
Under 2.5✕