Home/England Tips/Mansfield Town vs Derby County
EFL TrophyTuesday, 04 October 2022 · Full-time1-1✓
MAN

Mansfield Town

VS
DER

Derby County

Mansfield Town vs Derby County Prediction

Under2.5 goals
65% confidence

Why we picked this for Mansfield Town vs Derby County

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Mansfield Town against Derby County (EFL Trophy), rated at 65% confidence. Matches involving Mansfield Town produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Derby County it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

There are no recent meetings between these teams in our data, so head-to-head history plays no part here. The 65% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-1, so Under 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Mansfield Town last 5
3.0
avg goals, Derby County last 5
—
no previous meetings
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Mansfield Town
Mansfield Town 2-2 Hartlepool United
Sep 30, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Mansfield Town
Sep 24, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Gillingham 0-2 Mansfield Town
Sep 17, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Mansfield Town 0-0 Carlisle United
Sep 13, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Doncaster Rovers 1-3 Mansfield Town
Sep 03, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Derby County
Cambridge United 0-2 Derby County
Oct 01, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 2-1 Wycombe Wanderers
Sep 17, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Lincoln 2-0 Derby County
Sep 13, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 2-3 Plymouth
Sep 03, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Derby County 2-1 Peterborough United
Aug 27, 2022
Over 2.5✕