Home/UEFA Tips/Chelsea vs AC Milan
Champions LeagueWednesday, 05 October 2022 · Full-time3-0✕
CHE

Chelsea

VS
AC

AC Milan

Chelsea vs AC Milan Prediction

Under2.5 goals
97% confidence

Why we picked this for Chelsea vs AC Milan

Our pick for Chelsea vs AC Milan in Champions League is Under 2.5 goals, with 97% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Chelsea's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.4 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for AC Milan (3.2 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

There are no recent meetings between these teams in our data, so head-to-head history plays no part here. A confidence of 97% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 3-0, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
3.2
avg goals, AC Milan last 5
—
no previous meetings
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Chelsea
Crystal Palace 1-2 Chelsea
Oct 01, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 1-1 FC Red Bull Salzburg
Sep 14, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Chelsea
Sep 06, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Chelsea 2-1 West Ham United
Sep 03, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Southampton 2-1 Chelsea
Aug 30, 2022
Over 2.5✕
AC Milan
Empoli 1-3 AC Milan
Oct 01, 2022
Over 2.5✕
AC Milan 1-2 Napoli
Sep 18, 2022
Over 2.5✕
AC Milan 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Sep 14, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Sampdoria 1-2 AC Milan
Sep 10, 2022
Over 2.5✕
FC Red Bull Salzburg 1-1 AC Milan
Sep 06, 2022
Under 2.5✓