Home/UEFA Tips/Porto vs Atletico Madrid
Champions LeagueTuesday, 01 November 2022 · Full-time2-1✕
POR

Porto

VS
ATL

Atletico Madrid

Porto vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Under2.5 goals
52% confidence

Why we picked this for Porto vs Atletico Madrid

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Porto against Atletico Madrid (Champions League), rated at 52% confidence. Matches involving Porto produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Atletico Madrid it is 3.0 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 1 of the last 3 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. At 52%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 2-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Porto last 5
3.0
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
67%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Porto
Santa Clara 1-1 Porto
Oct 29, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Club Brugge 0-4 Porto
Oct 26, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Porto 0-1 Benfica
Oct 21, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-3 Porto
Oct 12, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Portimonense 0-2 Porto
Oct 08, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid
Cadiz 3-2 Atletico Madrid
Oct 29, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 2-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Oct 26, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Betis 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Oct 23, 2022
Over 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Oct 18, 2022
Under 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Atletico Madrid
Oct 15, 2022
Under 2.5✓

Last 3 meetings

Porto vs Atletico Madrid, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 07, 2022Atletico MadridPorto2-1
Over 2.5✕
Dec 07, 2021PortoAtletico Madrid1-3
Over 2.5✕
Sep 15, 2021Atletico MadridPorto0-0
Under 2.5✓