Home/Italy Tips/AC Milan vs Fiorentina
Serie ASunday, 13 November 2022 · Full-time2-1✓
AC

AC Milan

VS
FIO

Fiorentina

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction

Over2.5 goals
55% confidence

Why we picked this for AC Milan vs Fiorentina

Over 2.5 goals is our call for AC Milan against Fiorentina (Serie A), rated at 55% confidence. Matches involving AC Milan produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Fiorentina it is 2.8 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 55%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, AC Milan last 5
2.8
avg goals, Fiorentina last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

AC Milan
Cremonese 0-0 AC Milan
Nov 08, 2022
Under 2.5✕
AC Milan 2-1 Spezia Calcio
Nov 05, 2022
Over 2.5✓
AC Milan 4-0 FC Red Bull Salzburg
Nov 02, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Torino 2-1 AC Milan
Oct 30, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Dinamo Zagreb 0-4 AC Milan
Oct 25, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana 1919
Nov 09, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Sampdoria 0-2 Fiorentina
Nov 06, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Rigas 0-3 Fiorentina
Nov 03, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Spezia Calcio 1-2 Fiorentina
Oct 30, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Fiorentina 2-1 Istanbul Basaksehir
Oct 27, 2022
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

AC Milan vs Fiorentina, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 01, 2022AC MilanFiorentina1-0
Under 2.5✕
Nov 20, 2021FiorentinaAC Milan4-3
Over 2.5✓
Mar 21, 2021FiorentinaAC Milan2-3
Over 2.5✓
Nov 29, 2020AC MilanFiorentina2-0
Under 2.5✕
Feb 22, 2020FiorentinaAC Milan1-1
Under 2.5✕