Home/England Tips/Bolton vs Derby County
League OneTuesday, 27 December 2022 · Full-time0-0✕
BOL

Bolton

VS
DER

Derby County

Bolton vs Derby County Prediction

Over2.5 goals
95% confidence

Why we picked this for Bolton vs Derby County

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Bolton against Derby County (League One), rated at 95% confidence. Matches involving Bolton produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Derby County it is 1.8 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 4 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. A confidence of 95% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 0-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Bolton last 5
1.8
avg goals, Derby County last 5
75%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Bolton
Bolton 2-0 Exeter City
Dec 17, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Shrewsbury 3-2 Bolton
Dec 10, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Bolton 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Dec 02, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Fleetwood 1-2 Bolton
Nov 19, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Cambridge United 0-0 Bolton
Nov 12, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Derby County
Derby County 4-0 Forest Green Rovers
Dec 17, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Burton Albion 1-1 Derby County
Dec 10, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Derby County 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday
Dec 03, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Newport 1-2 Derby County
Nov 27, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Portsmouth 0-0 Derby County
Nov 18, 2022
Under 2.5✕

Last 4 meetings

Bolton vs Derby County, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 13, 2019Derby CountyBolton4-0
Over 2.5✓
Sep 29, 2018BoltonDerby County1-0
Under 2.5✕
Apr 07, 2018Derby CountyBolton3-0
Over 2.5✓
Aug 19, 2017BoltonDerby County1-2
Over 2.5✓