Derby County
Bolton
Derby County vs Bolton Prediction
Why we picked this for Derby County vs Bolton
Our pick for Derby County vs Bolton in League One is Under 2.5 goals, with 70% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Derby County's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Bolton (1.6 per game). Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 70% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 2-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Derby County vs Bolton, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | Bolton | Derby County | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Derby County | Bolton | 4-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Bolton | Derby County | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 07, 2018 | Derby County | Bolton | 3-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Bolton | Derby County | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |