Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

For this Bundesliga fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, at 77% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Mainz 05's games produced 3.2 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Borussia Dortmund's games averaged 4.0, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 77%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-2. The pick won.

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