Home/International Tips/Atletico MG vs Carabobo
Copa LibertadoresThursday, 02 March 2023 · Full-time3-1✓
ATL

Atletico MG

VS
CAR

Carabobo

Atletico MG vs Carabobo Prediction

Over2.5 goals
75% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico MG vs Carabobo

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Atletico MG against Carabobo (Copa Libertadores), rated at 75% confidence. Matches involving Atletico MG produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Carabobo it is 2.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 75%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 3-1. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Atletico MG last 5
2.4
avg goals, Carabobo last 5
0%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico MG
Carabobo 0-0 Atletico MG
Feb 23, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Corinthians 0-1 Atletico MG
Nov 13, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 3-0 Cuiabá
Nov 11, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Atletico MG 0-2 Botafogo
Nov 08, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Sao Paulo SP 2-2 Atletico MG
Nov 02, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Carabobo
Carabobo 1-3 Deportivo Táchira
Feb 26, 2023
Over 2.5✓
Carabobo 0-0 Atletico MG
Feb 23, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Carabobo 3-0 Zamora FC
Feb 13, 2023
Over 2.5✓
Caracas 0-0 Carabobo
Feb 03, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Zamora FC 1-4 Carabobo
Oct 23, 2022
Over 2.5✓

Last meeting

Atletico MG vs Carabobo, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 23, 2023CaraboboAtletico MG0-0
Under 2.5✕