Chelsea
Borussia Dortmund
Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund
Our pick for Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund in Champions League is Over 2.5 goals, with 73% confidence. Recent form: 0 of Chelsea's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (1.4 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Borussia Dortmund (2.4 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 73%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last meeting
Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | Borussia Dortmund | Chelsea | 1-0 | Under 2.5✕ |