Home/England Tips/Exeter City vs Derby County
League OneTuesday, 18 April 2023 · Full-time1-2✕
EXE

Exeter City

VS
DER

Derby County

Exeter City vs Derby County Prediction

Under2.5 goals
51% confidence

Why we picked this for Exeter City vs Derby County

Our pick for Exeter City vs Derby County in League One is Under 2.5 goals, with 51% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Exeter City's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.8 goals per game in total), against 0 of 5 for Derby County (2.0 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Previous meetings agree, with 1 of the last 1 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 51%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 1-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Exeter City last 5
2.0
avg goals, Derby County last 5
0%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Exeter City
Exeter City 0-1 Plymouth
Apr 15, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Peterborough United 3-1 Exeter City
Apr 10, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Exeter City 0-1 Bolton
Apr 07, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter City
Apr 01, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Exeter City 3-1 Barnsley
Mar 28, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Derby County
Bristol Rovers 1-1 Derby County
Apr 15, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons
Apr 10, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Forest Green Rovers 0-2 Derby County
Apr 07, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 0-2 Ipswich Town
Apr 01, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Peterborough United 2-0 Derby County
Mar 25, 2023
Under 2.5✓

Last meeting

Exeter City vs Derby County, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 25, 2022Derby CountyExeter City0-0
Under 2.5✓