Home/International Tips/United States vs Mexico
FriendliesThursday, 20 April 2023 · Full-time1-1✕
UNI

United States

VS
MEX

Mexico

United States vs Mexico Prediction

Over2.5 goals
50% confidence

Why we picked this for United States vs Mexico

Our pick for United States vs Mexico in Friendlies is Over 2.5 goals, with 50% confidence. Recent form: 2 of United States's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 0 of 5 for Mexico (0.8 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 2 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 50% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 1-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, United States last 5
0.8
avg goals, Mexico last 5
0%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
2 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

United States
Costa Rica 2-0 United States
Mar 31, 2022
Under 2.5✕
United States 5-1 Panama
Mar 28, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Mexico 0-0 United States
Mar 25, 2022
Under 2.5✕
United States 3-0 Honduras
Feb 03, 2022
Over 2.5✓
Canada 2-0 United States
Jan 30, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Mexico
Mexico 2-0 El Salvador
Mar 31, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Honduras 0-1 Mexico
Mar 28, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Mexico 0-0 United States
Mar 25, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Mexico 1-0 Panama
Feb 03, 2022
Under 2.5✕
Mexico 0-0 Costa Rica
Jan 31, 2022
Under 2.5✕

Last 2 meetings

United States vs Mexico, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 25, 2022MexicoUnited States0-0
Under 2.5✕
Nov 13, 2021United StatesMexico2-0
Under 2.5✕