Newcastle
Brighton
Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction
Why we picked this for Newcastle vs Brighton
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Newcastle against Brighton (Premier League), rated at 89% confidence. Matches involving Newcastle produced 4.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Brighton it is 4.0 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 89%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 4-1. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Newcastle vs Brighton, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2022 | Brighton | Newcastle | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Mar 05, 2022 | Newcastle | Brighton | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 06, 2021 | Brighton | Newcastle | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Brighton | Newcastle | 3-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Newcastle | Brighton | 0-3 | Over 2.5✕ |