Home/Brazil Tips/Gremio vs Atletico MG
Serie ASunday, 23 July 2023 · Full-time1-0✕
GRE

Gremio

VS
ATL

Atletico MG

Gremio vs Atletico MG Prediction

Over2.5 goals
50% confidence

Why we picked this for Gremio vs Atletico MG

Our pick for Gremio vs Atletico MG in Serie A is Over 2.5 goals, with 50% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Gremio's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.8 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Atletico MG (2.0 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 50%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 1-0, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Gremio last 5
2.0
avg goals, Atletico MG last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Gremio
Gremio 0-1 Bahia
Jul 13, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Gremio 0-2 Botafogo RJ
Jul 09, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Bahia 1-1 Gremio
Jul 05, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Bahia 1-2 Gremio
Jul 01, 2023
Over 2.5✓
Gremio 5-1 Coritiba
Jun 25, 2023
Over 2.5✓
Atletico MG
Goias 0-0 Atletico MG
Jul 18, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 0-1 Corinthians
Jul 08, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 2-2 America MG
Jul 02, 2023
Over 2.5✓
Club Libertad Asuncion 1-1 Atletico MG
Jun 28, 2023
Under 2.5✕
Fortaleza 2-1 Atletico MG
Jun 24, 2023
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Gremio vs Atletico MG, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 10, 2021GremioAtletico MG4-3
Over 2.5✓
Nov 04, 2021Atletico MGGremio2-1
Over 2.5✓
Jan 20, 2021GremioAtletico MG1-1
Under 2.5✕
Sep 27, 2020Atletico MGGremio3-1
Over 2.5✓
Oct 14, 2019Atletico MGGremio1-4
Over 2.5✓