Chelsea
Brighton
Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction
Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Brighton
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Chelsea against Brighton (Friendlies), rated at 68% confidence. Matches involving Chelsea produced 3.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Brighton it is 3.4 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 68% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 4-3, so Over 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea vs Brighton, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Chelsea | Brighton | 1-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Brighton | Chelsea | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Jan 18, 2022 | Brighton | Chelsea | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Chelsea | Brighton | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Apr 20, 2021 | Chelsea | Brighton | 0-0 | Under 2.5✕ |